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29 September 2020 – Covid-19 deaths crosses 1M

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /YM – DownTrend and upward momentum. /RTY – DownTrend with Upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and Upward momentum. /ES – DownTrend and Upward momentum.

Market volatility has increased and the indices acfsThe indices are turning upward again.

/CL – Downtrend and downward momentum. /GC – Downtrend and downward momentum. /ZB – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with downward momentum. DBC – DownTrend and downward momentum.

It is risk off. Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are both trending downwards with downward momentum.

$DXY – UpTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USD – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.64. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –26.19. Vix Futures – 30.90. Skew – 123.9.

Sentiment continues to be bullish and indices are showing signs of turning upwards. Vix remains high indicating high volatility. Skew is normal.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, XLY, XLK, XLB, XLU, SPX, XLP, XLV, SPY, /ES, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLY, XLV, SPX, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLI, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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