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5 October 2020 – Trump back at White House, Indices up

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTY – UpTrend with Upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and Upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ES – UpTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are turning upward again.

/CL – Downtrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GC – Neutral and upward momentum. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with downward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – Neutral and upward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze.

It is still a risk off market. Junk bond (HYG) is turning upwards and DBC is sideways.

$DXY – DownTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USD – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.604. Market Breadth – sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –27.96. Vix Futures – 30.75. Skew – 119.53.

Sentiment continues to be bullish and indices are turning upwards. Vix remains high indicating high volatility. Skew is normal.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLI, XLY, XLB, XLV, XLF, XLK, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLF, XLY, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLI, XLK, XLU and XLE.  


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