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29 December 2020 – Indices pulled back, stimulus factored in?

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and sideward momentum. /NQUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze.

The indices continued to show strength heading into 2021 and made new highs. The indices are Squeezing upwards. UpTrend remains.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCUpTrend and Upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and sideward momentum and in a tight Squeeze.
HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – UpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are both in an upTrend with upward momentum. That is a good sign that we are in an UpTrend market.

$DXYDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYDownTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.618. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribulation. Skew – 142.74. Vix – 23.08.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.536. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 145.3. Vix – 21.7.

Market internals are giving mixed signals. Skew is above 142 giving warning of a Fat-Tail event. UpTrend remains intact but warning bells are ringing.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are /ES, XLF, SPX, XLK, XLY, XLB, SPY, XLV, XLI, XLP, XLE and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPX, /ES, XLK, XLB, XLY, XLI, SPY, XLV, XLP, XLF, XLU and XLE.

To Your Wealth!
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