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5 January 2021 – Georgia looms, market indecision

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTSidewards and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze.

The indices could be poised to surge upwards as it is in a volatility compression. UpTrend largely remains.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /GCUpTrend and Upward momentum and exited Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and upward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are both in an UpTrend with upward momentum. That is a good sign that the market is still in an UpTrend.

$DXYDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.55. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 145.50. Vix – 25.34.

Market internals are giving mixed signals with Bullish bias. Skew is above 142 giving warning of a Fat-Tail event. UpTrend remains intact but warning bells are ringing.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLB, XLV, XLF, XLY, SPX, XLK, SPY, /ES, XLE, XLI, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLV, XLY, SPX, XLK, SPY, /ES, XLI, XLP, XLF, XLU and XLE.

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