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21 June 2021 – A bounce or a turnaround?

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and downward momentum. /YMDownTrend and downward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and sideward momentum. /NQ UpTrend and upward momentum. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze.

The indices are giving mixed signals. The Dow Transportation is heading downwards but the S&P 500 is heading upwards.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum. /ZBUpTrend and upward momentum. HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are on an upTrend again. It looks like the pullback has been short.

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.66. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew – 158.36. Vix – 17.89.

Market internals are showing bearish bias and the Skew is extremely high. The stage is set for this market to continue to be volatile.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, XLV, SPX, /ES, SPY, XLE, XLY, XLF, XLI, XLB, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLK, SPX, XLV, /ES, SPY, XLE, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLB and XLU.

To Your Wealth!
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