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TiTTs – Reversion to the Mean

One of the functionality of the TiTTs is the potential for trading Reversion to the Mean when the market is extremely OverBought or OverSold. This trade can be done relatively safely but again nothing works 100%. The Bullish signal was there when market opened. Something to note is that for the first 6 minutes, we are unable to use the Market Internals to trade. We can still trade without the market internals as the indicators still function normally.

The yellow dots represent volume breakout when the volume is 50% higher than the average volume. On the ShortRipple lower studies, the SR-TF2 was at over 80 for quite some time. We should exit when it crossed back below 80. We can also take the Short Sell trade as well. This is the Reversion to the Mean trade.

In the chart above, the Buy Signal (without the market internals) was present just before market opened at 9:30 am ET. When market opened, the /RTY trended upwards with accompanying volume. The ShortRipple-TF2 entered over 80 which is extreme overbought. When the ShortRipple-TF2 crossed back below 80, it was time to Sell and also do a Short Sell.

In the chart above, the 2 topmost dots represent the $Tick and $ADD Buy and Sell dots. Green/Cyan dots are the Buy dots and White dots are the Sell dots.

Likewise, the middle 4 line of dots represent the 8 EMA crossing the 21 EMA, Close is above the 55 SMA, 8 EMA crosses the 55 SMA, Short Ripple (SR-TF2) higher timeframe above or below the zero line and the Close is above/below the ATR-Trailing StopLoss and the Close above/below the 55 SMA.

The TiTTs chart is displayed below. For Bullish or Bearish market condition for trading the Russell 2000 index futures (/RTY), the Rules are set out as below

  1. Check whether the market is range trading. If so, check the fractal breakout lines i.e the Support and Resistance lines.
  2. Check the location of the ATR-Trailing StopLoss line in relation to the close. Also check the 55 SMA line. If both are above the Close, then the index has a bearish bias. If both are below the Close, then the index is bullish.
  3. Check the $Tick chart for the Bias. If the $Tick Average line is below zero, then the line colour is White. If the $Tick Average line is above zero, then it is Green.
  4. Also if the $Tick bar is above the line then it is Green else if the $Tick bar is below the $Tick Average line, then is is Red. For an UpTrend, the $Tick bar is above the $Tick Average line which is sloping upwards.
  5. If the $Tick bar is below the $Tick Average line which is sloping downwards, then it is DownTrending.
  6. For Bullish Entry, check the FOUR Square Cyan/Green dots are present.
  7. Check that the 821 AIM High! vertical line and square dot is present.
  8. Check that the SR-TF2 three arrows are pointing Upward and the Square Cyan dot is present.

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