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10 October 2022 – Interest rates dominate market

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Neutral momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
DBCUpTrend and Upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.969
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 32.45

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLI, XLF, XLV, XLC, XLP, XLY, XLU and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLU, XLC and XLK.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, the /RTY had a much tougher time trying to move upward as it has to go through many moving averages Resistances. With the current market being Bearish, downward movement as much faster with less resistances.

To Your Wealth!
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Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

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