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Z5 29 November 2022

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Z5 28 October 2022

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19 October 2022 – Rally fizzles, Down it goes

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YMNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Upward momentum.
DBCDownTrend and Downward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
$DJI, $DXY, /ES, /NQ, /RTY, /YM, EUR/USD, SPX

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
$DJT, /ZB, /ZN, HYG, NDX

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.904
Market Breadth – above threshold line showing more gainers than losers.
Volume Acc/Dis – above threshold line showing accumulation overall.
Vix – 30.76

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLC, XLK, XLU and XLY.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLI, XLU, XLF, XLP, XLB, XLK, XLY and XLC.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, the /RTY had the usual volatility on market Open. It then showed the Bulls were in control for the 5 minutes of the trading day. From then till about 10:00 am ET, the Bears were Selling off. The Bulls managed to take it back up again from 10:01 am ET till 10:30 am ET. From then, the Bears were in control and took it back down till 1 am ET. For the rest of the day, the Bulls were working hard to push it back up.

To Your Wealth!
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Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

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