Indices Dow Transportation closed at 9202.47 with a bullish candle just above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 259.74. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Dow Industrial closed at 23346.24 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 484.88. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Russell 2000 closed at 1355.9062 with a bullish hammer candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 32.582. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6360.8692 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 196.06. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
S&P 500 closed at 2510.03 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 52.02. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $46.33 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle below on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 3.43. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1286.5 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.4. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 16.91 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.12. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.53 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.435. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 147’13 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.8437. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 80.99 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.46. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.661 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.138. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a daily Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1341 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0171. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
USD/JPY closed at 108.86 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.016. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0168 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0128. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLK.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLK respectively.
Market Internals Market Sentiment has turned bearish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 116.06. Vix is at 23.22 and Vix Futures is at 24.05.
The Week Ahead The market was volatile on the first trading day of the year. The indices were down a significant amount but on market open, it managed to recover and closed way above its open. There are still plenty of bullish sentiment left in the market. The prognosis is for more volatility in 2019 and the first day of the year is a proof of that.
To YOUR wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
2 January 2019 – Volatility to start the year!
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 9202.47 with a bullish candle just above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 259.74. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Dow Industrial closed at 23346.24 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 484.88. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy.
Russell 2000 closed at 1355.9062 with a bullish hammer candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 32.582. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6360.8692 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 196.06. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
S&P 500 closed at 2510.03 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 52.02. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $46.33 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle below on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 3.43. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1286.5 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.4. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 16.91 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.12. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.53 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.435. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 147’13 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.8437. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 80.99 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.46. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.661 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.138. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a daily Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1341 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0171. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
USD/JPY closed at 108.86 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.016. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0168 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0128. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLK.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLK respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment has turned bearish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 116.06. Vix is at 23.22 and Vix Futures is at 24.05.
The Week Ahead
The market was volatile on the first trading day of the year. The indices were down a significant amount but on market open, it managed to recover and closed way above its open. There are still plenty of bullish sentiment left in the market. The prognosis is for more volatility in 2019 and the first day of the year is a proof of that.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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