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Z5 Fri, 24 May 2024

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27 Feb 2019 – Is the market turning?

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10491.91 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 115.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25985.16 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 180.74. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1581.0517 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 11.4601. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7117.0046 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 80.366. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2792.38 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 20.63. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.98 per barrel with a bullish candle below its 200 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.67. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1321.7 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 13.6. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.00 with a small bullish candle below its 200 SMA and above its 8EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.096. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 144’30 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.53. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.80 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.21. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.11 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.307. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.1368 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.004. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 110.98 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.72. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLI, XLB, XLU and XLE.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLE, XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers to losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 126.44. Vix is at 14.70 and Vix Futures is at 15.76.  

The Week Ahead 
The indices appears to be pauting and may be pulling back. Gold sold off while Oil pushed higher. Vix and Vix futures are below 15 and 16 respectively. Skew is normal. Market internals are strong. The prognosis is for a pause in the indices and caution is needed in trading the indices.    

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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