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3 December 2019 – No Trade deal, market tanks

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10499.29 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 280.4. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 38.3.

Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 27502.81 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 457.91. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 45.5.

Russell 2000 closed at 1602.6298 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.85. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 54.8.

Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 8254.737 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 141.905. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 52.4.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped down and closed at 3093.20 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 43.54. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 51.3.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.32 per barrel with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.45. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong downTrend. Momentum – Strong Downwards. RSI – 48.9.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1483.5 with a bullish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 22.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 54.7.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.29 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.13. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 43.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’28 with a big bullish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 3.1562. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 52.8.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 86.42 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 40.9.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.728 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.2959. Fractal Chaos Band – closed on its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.8.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1080 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0027. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.3.

USD/JPY closed at 108.62 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.721. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 45.8.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLV, XLF, SPY, SPX, XLK, /ES, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLV, SPY, XLK, SPX, /ES, XLF, XLI, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 122.78. Vix – 15.96 and Vix Futures – 16.20.   

The Week Ahead 
The indices pulled back as the US-China trade deal does not look like it will be concluded anytime soon. Market Sentiment remained bullish even as the market internals are showing weakness. The US economy is still reasonably strong with full employment but industrial PMI is below 50. With the unlikelihood of a trade deal soon, the prognosis is for the market to continue pulling back.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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