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23 April 2020 – Record Unemployment, Indices rised and fell

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CL DownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /GC – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZB – UpTrend and in a Squeeze. $DXY – UpTrend. HYGDownTrend.

Market Internals
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.728. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix – 41.38 and Vix Futures – 40.35. Skew – 125.22.

S&P 500 rised and then pulled back. The indices rised on record unemployment but pulled back in the second half of the day. Treasury bond made slight gain. Oil made some gains. Gold closed higher. Market Sentiment is bullish. Market internals are showing bullishness. Overall, the market is giving a mixed signals. The prognosis is for a Sideway market.

Intermarket Analysis
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $16.87. Daily trading range – 4.91. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 38.9. It is in a preliminary Squeeze.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1751.6. Daily trading range – 33.6. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 60.4.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 10.84. Daily trading range – 0.34. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 33.5.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 181’22. Daily trading range – 1.4375. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 59. It is in a Squeeze.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 79.06. Daily trading range – 0.93. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 50.4.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 100.483. Daily trading range – 0.654. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.5.


EUR/USD closed at 1.0775. Daily trading range – 0.009. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 40.2.

USD/JPY closed at 107.60. Daily trading range – 0.694. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 47.1.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLP, XLY, XLK, XLU, SPX, SPY, XLB, /ES, XLE, XLI and XLF.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLP, XLY, XLK, XLU, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLB, XLI, XLF and XLE.  


To Your Wealth!
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