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15 September 2020 – Uncertainties but indices powered upwards

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

The indices have now turned upwards. This is likely to be the case heading into an election.

/CL – DownTrend. /GC – Sideways and in a tight Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend with upward momentum. HYGUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – DownTrend.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are giving mixed signals and as such, the indices are likely to be volatile.

$DXY – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – UpTrend with sideways momentum and in a tight Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with downward momentum and in a tight Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Very Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.58. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –25.59. Vix Futures – 30.50. Skew – 132.95.

The market internals are giving conflicting signals.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLB, XLI, XLY, XLU, XLP, XLV, XLF, SPY, /ES, SPX, XLK and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLY, XLV, XLP, SPY, /ES, SPX, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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