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16 September 2020 – Indices to range trade till after election?

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ – Sideways with downward momentum. /ESUpTrend.

It looks like the indices are in a sideway range trading market till after the US election.

/CL – DownTrend with upward momentum. /GC – Sideways and in a tight Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum. HYG – Sideways and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – UpTrend and Upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are giving mixed signals and as such, the indices are likely to be volatile and range trade.

$DXY – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – UpTrend with sideways momentum and in a tight Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with downward momentum and in a tight Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Very Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.608. Market Breadth – sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –26.04. Vix Futures – 31.65. Skew – 136.06.

The market internals are indicating that the indices are on an upTrend.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, XLB, XLY, XLF, XLU, XLP, XLV, SPY, SPX, XLK, /ES and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLY, XLV, SPY, SPX, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


To Your Wealth!
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