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17 September 2020 – Volatility in indices

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YM – Sideways and in a preliminary Squeeze. /RTY – Sideways and in a Squeeze. /NQ – Sideways. /ES – Sideways.

The indices are in a sideways trend and is range trading perhaps till the US election.

/CL – UpTrend with upward momentum. /GC – Sideways and in a tight Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum. HYG – Sideways and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – UpTrend and Upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are giving mixed signals and as such, the indices are likely to be volatile and range trade.

$DXY – Sideways and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – Sideways. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.697. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –26.78. Vix Futures – 30.00. Skew – 139.41.

The market internals are indicating that the indices are sideways.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLB, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLU, XLV, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLK and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLI, XLU, XLV, XLE, XLF, XLY, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLK and XLP.  


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