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18 February 2021 – Indices turn bearish

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and downward momentum. /NQUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum.

The indices is losing momentum upwards. It looks to want to have a rest and pull back slightly.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. HYGUpTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Momentum in junk bond (HYG) is starting to turn downwards and DBC continues on its UpTrend.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.562. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 142.55. Vix – 22.49.

Market internals are giving a bearish bias signal and is indicating a potential turn downwards.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLF, SPY, SPX, XLE, /ES, XLY, XLK, XLI, XLV, XLU, XLB and XLP.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLK, XLE, XLB, XLI, XLF, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLV, XLU and XLP.

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