Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10366.32 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 756.44. Intermediate Cycle is negative with falling slope. Short term cycle is negative with falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Dow Industrial closed at 25270.83 with a bullish harami candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1,456.75. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Russell 2000 closed at 1547.9814 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 95.53. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6965.294 with a high closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and on its 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 510.52. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
S&P 500 closed at 2723.06 with a harami candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 153.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $62.86 per barrel with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 5.32. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1234.6 with a high closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and on its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 25.9. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.77 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.42. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.80 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.699. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 137’06 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.844. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.27 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.605. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.496 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.211. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1386 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0153. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
USD/JPY closed at 113.18 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.61. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and falling. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0001 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0126. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in monthly Squeeze.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLF, XLE and XLK respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLF, XLE and XLK respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 115.73. Vix is at 19.51 and Vix futures 19.61.
The Week Ahead
Market Internals are starting to show some strength. Market Breadth is showing more gainers than loser and Volume is showing some accumulation. Market sentiment is showing a slight positive sentiment. Vix and Vix futures are now below 20. The prognosis is for more volatility but with likelihood that the bulls are around to do some buying.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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2nd November 2018 – Midterms election and volatility
Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10366.32 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 756.44. Intermediate Cycle is negative with falling slope. Short term cycle is negative with falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Dow Industrial closed at 25270.83 with a bullish harami candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1,456.75. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Russell 2000 closed at 1547.9814 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 95.53. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 6965.294 with a high closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and on its 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 510.52. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling. Short term cycle is negative and falling. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
S&P 500 closed at 2723.06 with a harami candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 153.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $62.86 per barrel with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 5.32. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1234.6 with a high closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and on its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 25.9. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.77 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.42. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.80 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.699. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 137’06 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.844. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.27 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.605. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.496 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.211. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1386 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0153. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
USD/JPY closed at 113.18 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.61. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and falling. Market direction:- Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0001 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0126. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in monthly Squeeze.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLF, XLE and XLK respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLY, XLP, XLI, XLF, XLE and XLK respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 115.73. Vix is at 19.51 and Vix futures 19.61.
The Week Ahead
Market Internals are starting to show some strength. Market Breadth is showing more gainers than loser and Volume is showing some accumulation. Market sentiment is showing a slight positive sentiment. Vix and Vix futures are now below 20. The prognosis is for more volatility but with likelihood that the bulls are around to do some buying.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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