FRED

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

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Background
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Over the years, I have maintained an interest in AI (爱) and has seen its tremendous progress. Now, with the same dedication that I have spent over the nearly 3 decades in engineering and management, I am pioneering the use of algorithmic and AI (爱) in trading the global stocks, futures and forex market especially in the Asian region.

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17 January 2020 – All Time New Highs


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation ($DJT) closed at 11278.85 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 385.61. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.4. The index is in its monthly Squeeze.    

Dow Industrial ($DJI) closed at 29348.10 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 554.19. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. It is in a monthly Squeeze. RSI – 75.5.

Russell 2000 closed at 1699.6351 with a candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 62.76. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 68.6.       

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 9173.7326 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 209.83. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB upper and lower band. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 81.2.

S&P 500 closed at 3329.62 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 64.53. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 79.

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.84 per barrel with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.91. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upwards. RSI – 51.8.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1557.3 with a small candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 26.8. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.3.

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 157’16 with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.9062. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and flat. Short cycle – negative and rising. Market direction:- Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 49.3.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.36 with a small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.25. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 65.8.

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.637 with a small bullish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.57. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 50.3.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1087 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.0086. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short cycle – negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 48.3.   

USD/JPY closed at 110.16 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 0.861. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction:- Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.4.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are XLE, XLK SPX, SPY, XLV, XLU, XLY, /ES, XLF, XLP, XLI and XLB respectively.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs are SPY, SPX, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLY, /ES, XLF, XLP, XLI, XLB and XLE respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is extremely bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew is at 134.62. Vix is at 12.10 and Vix futures 12.55.

The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is extremely bullish. Skew is normal. Market internals are showing strength. Economic data such as the The Non-Farm Payroll, Housing Starts continue show economic strength. The prognosis is for caution as this market is overly bullish and extremely overbought. Market internals continue to show tremendous strength.

To Your Wealth!
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16 January 2020 – Exuberance market – New All-Time high

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 11304.97 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 130.64. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 70.5.

Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 29297.64 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 270.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.7.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1705.2154 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 23.78. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.5.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 9124.999 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 90.406. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 77.3.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 3316.81 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 27.82. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.8.

Continue reading 16 January 2020 – Exuberance market – New All-Time high

15 January 2020 – Phase 1 US – China Trade Deal signed, New all time high

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 11195.39 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 113.94. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 66.5.

Dow Industrial closed at 29030.22 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 230.24. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 66.8.

Russell 2000 closed at 1682.3961 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 14.724. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 67.2.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 9035.6671 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 69.92. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3289.29 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.97. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 70.6.

Continue reading 15 January 2020 – Phase 1 US – China Trade Deal signed, New all time high

14 January 2020 – Sell on news?

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 11164.51 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 165.46. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 65.3.

Dow Industrial closed at 28939.67 with a small inverted hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 64.8. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.8.

Russell 2000 closed at 1675.741 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 21.48. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 64.4.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 9033.4203 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 59.237. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.9.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3283.15 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.06. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 69.5.

Continue reading 14 January 2020 – Sell on news?

13 January 2020 – Signing to Trade deal, market positive

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 11062.74 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 91.88. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.9.

Dow Industrial closed at 28907.05 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 90.48. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.1.

Russell 2000 closed at 1669.6055 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 17.29. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 61.6.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 9070.6465 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 104.89. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 78.1.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3288.13 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 22.78. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.5.

Continue reading 13 January 2020 – Signing to Trade deal, market positive

10 January 2020 – Weekly Review – All Time high and pull back


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation ($DJT) closed at 10973.88 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 309.59. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 57.2. The index is in its monthly Squeeze.    

Dow Industrial ($DJI) closed at 28823.77 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 590.44. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. It is in a monthly Squeeze. RSI – 71.5.

Russell 2000 closed at 1657.6433 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 26.32. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.4.       

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8966.6362 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 310.98. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB upper and lower band. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 78.4.

S&P 500 closed at 3234.85 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range – 46.11. Fractal Chaos Band – Above its FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.6.

Continue reading 10 January 2020 – Weekly Review – All Time high and pull back

9 January 2020 – Indices creep upwards

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 11025.82 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 71.83. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.2.

Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 28956.90 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 242.92. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 67.3.

Russell 2000 gapped up and closed at 1664.988 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 8.23. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Mixed. RSI – 61.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 8989.63 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 92.183. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 77.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped up and closed at 3274.70 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 22.53. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.3.

Continue reading 9 January 2020 – Indices creep upwards

8 January 2019 – A new high in the indices

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10983.64 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 180.48. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Mixed. RSI – 58.1.

Dow Industrial closed at 28745.09 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 343.67. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Mixed. RSI – 63.

Russell 2000 closed at 1663.5929 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 11.06. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 60.2.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8912.3701 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 118.616. Fractal Chaos Band – closed abbove its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.1.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3253.05 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 30.4. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Mixed. RSI – 67.5.

Continue reading 8 January 2019 – A new high in the indices

7 January 2020 – Indices tumble

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10887.56 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 132.88. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 52.8.

Dow Industrial closed at 28583.68 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 138.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 59.1.

Russell 2000 closed at 1658.3052 with a small doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 9.934. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 57.4.

Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 8846.4489 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 50.787. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 71.1.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3237.18 with a small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 13.85. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 64.3.

Continue reading 7 January 2020 – Indices tumble

6 January 2020 – Market hold steady despite fear of Iran -US war


Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10848.73 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 165.52. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 50.5.

Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 28703.38 with a bullish engulfing candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 289.39. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 63.7.

Russell 2000 gapped down and closed at 1663.2566 with a bullish engulfing candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 19.34. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 61.2.

Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 8848.5154 with a bullish engulfing candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 136.087. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.4.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped down and closed at 3246.28 with a bullish engulfing candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 32.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 67.9.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $62.83 per barrel with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.08. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and flat. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – weak Upward. RSI – 69.6.

Gold (/GC) gapped up and closed at 1567.7 with an inverted hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 35.7. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 80.7.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 16.19 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.14. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.3.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 157’25 with a bearish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.0937. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 51.7.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.13 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 63.3.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.623 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.357. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 36.9.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1196 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0055. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 60.9.

USD/JPY closed at 108.35 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.737. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 42.2.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLY, XLF, XLV, XLE, XLU, XLP and XLB.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLI, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLK, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLV, XLU, XLB and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 132.64. Vix – 13.85 and Vix Futures – 14.70.   

The Week Ahead 
Skew is normal. Vix is below 14 and Vix futures is below 15. Market Internals continue to show strength and market sentiment is showing extreme bullishness. The indices is trending upwards.

The indices gapped down on market open but recovered. The market has dismissed the events of the weekend where an Iranian general was assassinated by US forces. The US market is currently enjoying a superbull market and impervious to negative news as it seems. The prognosis is that this market is exuberant and the indices will continue to be bought until a catastrophic event happens.

To Your Wealth!
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