Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017
28 June 2017
Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)
Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017
27 June 2017
Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)
Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17
23 June 2017
Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)
Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
14 December 2015
We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.
8 December 2015
We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost.
The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.
27 November 2015
We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)
Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
21 August 2015
This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.
13 July 2015
We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21
August 2015 (EST)
Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX
Update
13 July 2015
We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.
15 June 2015
We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17
July 2015 (EST)
Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX
Update
5 June 2015
We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.
18 May 2015
We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)
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Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 9095.31 with a bearish candle below its 21 moving averages. Weekly trading range was 371.8. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Dow Industrial closed at 21674.51 with a bearish inverted hammer candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 444.1. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1357.8 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 46.5. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5790.8 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 174.8. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2425.6 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 54.2. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $48.90 per barrel with a high closing doji candle above its 21 EMA and below tis 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was $2.7. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1290.3 with a spinning top doji candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 34.2. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and closed at 18.67 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.59. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.84 with a hammer candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.37. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 155’26 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.3. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.47 with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.68. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 93.420 with a bullish inverted candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 1.1. Momentum is downwards.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1760 with a bearish hammer candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 0.0175. Momentum is upward.
USD/JPY closed at 109.19 with a low closing doji candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 2.3439. Weekly momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLE, XLK, XLF, XLB and XLI respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLU, XLK, XLV, XLB and XLP respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards. Volumetric Acc/Dis is showing distribution. SKEW is at 128.86. Vix is at 14.26 and Vix futures is at 14.925.
The Week Ahead
The indices have pulled back for the week. The weekly market cycles for the indices are largely negative except for the Dow Jones Industrial. Market internals are showing some weakness. Vix and Vix futures are below 15 which is still not that high. The prognosis is for more sideways trading with bearish bias.
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Dow Transportation traded down and closed at 9152.45 with a huge bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 212.25. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 30.2%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial traded downwards and closed at 21750.73 with a huge bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 234.42. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 33.4%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Russell 2000 traded downwards to close at 1358.9397 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 25.937. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 0%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 sold off and closed at 5796.3175 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 107.547. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 26.1%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 sold off and closed at 2430.01 with a huge bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 35.009. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 17%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $46.93 with a small doji candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1293.6 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture ETF (DBA) traded downwards and closed at 18.66 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities ETF (DBC) gapped down and traded upwards to close at 14.58 with a bullish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 155’28 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down, traded downwards and closed at 87.34 with a big bearish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.67 with a bullish candle stradding its 8 EMA and 21 EMA below its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1718 with a bearish candle straddling its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 109.52 with a bearish candle straddling its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLK, XLB, XLI, XLF, XLV and XLE respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLU, XLK, XLV, XLB, XLI and XLP respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 15.55. Vix futures is at 15.0. Skew is at 142.73. Market sentiment is bearish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals are showing weakness and SKEW is still elevated. The market just had a big down day and Selling pressure is still predominant. The prognosis is for more downside in the indices.
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Dow Transportation closed at 9377.22 with a low closing doji candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 76.9. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 63.3%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Dow Industrial closed at 22024.87 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 83.24. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 57.9%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1383.5339 with a doji candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 9.78. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 7.8%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5917.42 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 45.4. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 85%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2468.11 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 11.07. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 73.8%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $46.77 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1288.8 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded downwards and closed at 18.78 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and traded downwards to close at 14.54 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’31 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 87.83 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.471 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1766 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.18 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLP, XLB and XLF respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLU, XLV, XLB and XLI respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.74. Vix futures is at 13.15. Skew is at 148.62. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals are giving mixed signals. SKEW is extremely elevated above 148.62 which usually means that market participants is expecting the market to head downwards. The prognosis is for a high probability of investors selling into any rising market or a short term downward market.
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Dow Transportation traded upwards to close at 9371.07 with a small bullish candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 47.829. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 81.3%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down and traded downwards to close at 21998.99 with a small bearish candle above its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 67.44. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 71.9%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Russell 2000 traded downwards to close at 1383.2372 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 12.923. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 25.1%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and traded downwards to close at 5907.7302 with a bearish ‘hammer’ candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 25.9. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 93.8%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 gapped up and traded downwards to close at 2464.61 with a bearish candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 7.3. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 82.1%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $47.71 with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1276.9 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded downwards and closed at 18.94 with a small candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and traded downwards to close at 14.58 with a small bullish candle below its 21 EMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’09 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) traded sideways to close at 87.82 with a small doji candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.829 with a bullish candle on its 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1743 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.63 with a big bullish candle on its 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLP and XLF respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLV, XLU, XLI and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 12.04. Vix futures is at 13.20. Skew is at 143.23. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals is giving mixed signals. SKEW is elevated above 142 which means that investors are hedged for the market to head south. The prognosis is for an undecided market and hence caution is warranted.
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Dow Transportation gapped up and traded upwards to close at 9347.55 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 126.7. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 60.4%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down and traded upwards to close at 21993.71 with a small bullish candle above its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 73.59. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 78.1%. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 gapped up and traded upwards to close at 1394.309 with a big bullish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 19.393. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 44.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and traded upwards to close at 5908.1669 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 38.327. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 100%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 sold off and closed at 2465.84 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 13.259. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 90.2%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $47.5 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1287.8 with a bearish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF traded upwards and closed at 19.10 with a small bullish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and traded downwards to close at 14.65 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 155’04 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and traded upwards to close at 87.79 with a bullish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.462 with a bullish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1778 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 109.70 with a bullish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLF, XLP, XLY and XLI respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLV, XLI, XLU and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 12.33. Vix futures is at 12.50. Skew is at 142.07. Market sentiment is slightly bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals continues to deteriorate. Vix and Vix futures have moved down to below 13. Skew is at 142 which is a warning signal that investors are taking precaution of a market move downwards. The indices have reversed upwards the last 2 days but market internals are showing weakness and Skew is giving warning of potential move downwards. The prognosis is to be cautious as the market is indicating potential sell-off even as it trades upwards.
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Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 9199.05 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA but above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 211.6. Weekly momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Dow Industrial touched all-time high of 22179.11 and closed at 21858.32 with a bearish candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 336.3. Weekly momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1374.2315 with a big bearish candle below its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 57.9. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5831.5325 with a bearish candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 189.5. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2441.32 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was 53.1. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $48.79 per barrel with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA. Weekly trading range was $2.2. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1295 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 41. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 19.20 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.7. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.78 with a small low closing doji candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.3. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 155’16 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.3. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.33 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.3. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 93.101 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 0.9. Momentum is downward.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1822 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 0.015. Momentum is upward.
USD/JPY closed at 109.18 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 2.185. Weekly momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLK, XLY, XLF and XLV respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLK, XLU, XLI and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards. Volumetric Acc/Dis is showing distribution. SKEW is at 135.43. Vix is at 15.51 and Vix futures is at 15.425.
The Week Ahead
The indices have pulled back this week. The Dow Jones Transportation and Russell 2000 have pulled back below their 21 week EMA. Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 is still strong. Vix has shot up to above 15 but Vix futures is at similar level and there is no indication that the market is pricing in longer term volatility. The prognosis is that this pullback could be a short term dip.
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Dow Transportation sold off and closed at 9119.74 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 99.6. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 38.5%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down, sold off and closed at 21844.01 with a bearish marubozu candle on its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 144.2. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 81.6%. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Russell 2000 sold off and closed at 1372.5438 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 24. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 0%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 sold off and closed at 5788.1925 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 103.9. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 67.1%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 sold off and closed at 2438.21 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 27.6. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 66%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $48.51 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1292.1 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF sold off and closed at 19.09 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up, sold off and closed at 14.73 with a big bearish marubozu candle on its 21 EMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 155’17 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down, sold off and closed at 87.18 with a big bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.415 with a doji candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1758 with a high closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 109.18 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLF, XLK, XLE, XLB and XLI respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLU, XLV, XLI, XLK and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 16.04. Vix futures is at 15.65. Skew is at 136.48. Market sentiment is bearish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downwards.
The Week Ahead
Market internals is showing weakness. Vix has spiked upwards above 16 and Vix futures is above 15 and below the Vix. This inversion is showing that the market is expecting the market pullback will be a short duration. The prognosis is for the indices to continue selling off for a short while.
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Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 9235.41 with a small bullish candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 59.4. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 63%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 22048.70 with a small bullish candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 60.5. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 100%. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1396.9485 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 16.5. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 43.7%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 gapped down and closed at 5919.3915 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 54.7. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 100%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 gapped down and closed at 2474.02 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 12.3. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 87.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $49.7 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1283.2 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and closed at 19.51 with a bearish marubozu candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 14.96 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’18 with a bullish inverted ‘hammer’ candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 87.74 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.499 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1758 with a bigh closing spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.05 with a bearish hammer candle below its moving averages. Momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLF and XLP respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLU respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 11.11. Vix futures is at 11.78. Skew is at 141.20. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping downwards.
The Week Ahead
Vix has spiked upwards but Vix futures is still holding below 12. Market internals are showing weakness. High Yield bond is headed downwards. The prognosis is that the market is cautious and short term volatility can be expected.
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Dow Transportation closed at 9232.85 with a low closing doji candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 119.3. Momentum is downwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 42.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Dow Industrial touched all-time high at 22179.11 in new all-time high and closed at 22085.34 with a doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 121.8. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 91.8%. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1410.1509 with a bearish spinning top doji candle below its moving averages. Daily trading range was 18.7. Momentum is downward. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is at 47%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5926.3519 with a low closing doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 62.4. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric Buy/Sell pressure is at 85.7%. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
S&P 500 touched all-time high at 2490.87 and closed at 2474.92 with a low closing spinning top doji candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 20.5. Momentum is sideways. Volumetric buying pressure is at 87.6%. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $48.96 with a bearish candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1266.5 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 19.63 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.86 with a bullish inverted hammer candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’04 with a bullish ‘hammer’ candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.08 with a big bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.607 with a bullish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1751 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 109.85 with a bearish candle below its moving averages. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLK, XLV, XLI, XLU and XLB respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 10.96. Vix futures is at 11.85. Skew is at 140.05. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.
The Week Ahead
Dow Industrial and S&P 500 made all-time high but sold off in the afternoon. Vix spiked up above 10. Market internals remain strong. The S&P 500 has been showing distribution. Also the HYG (junk bond ETF), the Russell 2000 and S&P 500 are trending downwards. The prognosis is for caution as it is the end of the earnings season.
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Dow Transportation closed at 9284.66 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 34. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is signalling Buying. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Dow Industrial touched 22121.15 in new all-time high and closed at 22118.42 with a small bullish candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 39.18. Momentum is upwards. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is signalling Buying. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1414.1665 with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 8.7995. Momentum is downward. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is a signalling Buying. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5934.73 with a bullish candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 33.0448. Momentum is neutral. Volumetric buy/sell pressure is signalling Buying. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2480.91 with a bullish marubozu candle above its moving averages. Daily trading range was 5.0699. Momentum is neutral. Volumetric buying pressure is signalling Buying. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures closed at $49.31 with a bearish ‘hammer’ candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures closed at $1263.4 with a small candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 19.70 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.85 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Bonds
Bond futures (ZB) closed at 154’13 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is upwards. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.46 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA. Momentum is downwards. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle.
Currencies
$DXY closed at 93.428 with a small candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1794 with a small bullish candle above its moving averages. Momentum is sideways.
USD/JPY closed at 110.73 with a doji candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Momentum is sideways.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLU, XLF and XLP respectively.
On a 3-month lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLV, XLK, XLI, XLB and XLU respectively.
Market Internals
Vix closed at 9.93. Vix futures is at 11.25. Skew is at 138.91. Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downward. Volumetric accumulation/distribution is sloping upwards.
The Week Ahead
Dow Industrial continued to make new all-time high above 22000. Vix is very low below 10. Market internals continue to show strength. The Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 continues sideways. The prognosis is for an upward bias for the market.
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18 August 2017 – Weekly Review – A Down week
Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 9095.31 with a bearish candle below its 21 moving averages. Weekly trading range was 371.8. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Dow Industrial closed at 21674.51 with a bearish inverted hammer candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 444.1. BuySellTimer is in positive cycle.
Russell 2000 closed at 1357.8 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 46.5. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 5790.8 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 174.8. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
S&P 500 closed at 2425.6 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 54.2. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $48.90 per barrel with a high closing doji candle above its 21 EMA and below tis 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was $2.7. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1290.3 with a spinning top doji candle above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 34.2. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and closed at 18.67 with a bearish candle below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.59. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.84 with a hammer candle above its 21 EMA but below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.37. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle.
Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 155’26 with a bullish candle above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.3. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.47 with a spinning top doji candle below its 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.68. BuySellTimer is in negative cycle.
Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 93.420 with a bullish inverted candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 1.1. Momentum is downwards.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1760 with a bearish hammer candle above its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 0.0175. Momentum is upward.
USD/JPY closed at 109.19 with a low closing doji candle below its moving averages. Weekly trading range was 2.3439. Weekly momentum is downwards.
Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLE, XLK, XLF, XLB and XLI respectively.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLF, XLU, XLK, XLV, XLB and XLP respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards. Volumetric Acc/Dis is showing distribution. SKEW is at 128.86. Vix is at 14.26 and Vix futures is at 14.925.
The Week Ahead
The indices have pulled back for the week. The weekly market cycles for the indices are largely negative except for the Dow Jones Industrial. Market internals are showing some weakness. Vix and Vix futures are below 15 which is still not that high. The prognosis is for more sideways trading with bearish bias.
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