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Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

Academy of Stocks, Options, Futures and Forex (SOFF Academy)

The Academy of Stocks, Options, Futures and Forex (SOFF Academy) brings to you algorithmic trading and our latest development in the use of Artificial Intelligence (人工智能) for trading Stocks, Options, Futures and Forex. This is our way advancing the art of Technical Analysis and the proof of it is in our ability is an continuous uptrending Equity curve in our accounts.

Background
I am Jeff Toh and founder of the Academy of Stocks, Options, Futures and Forex. I am a Chartered Market Technician (CMT) with over 30 plus years of investing experience. Over the years, I have invested in mutual funds and stocks and traded in options, stocks and futures. I was an engineer in the telecommunications and broadcast industry for about 27 years since graduating from the University of Canterbury, New Zealand in 1986. One of my majoring subject was Expert Systems which has evolved and grown into Artificial Intelligence (AI, 爱) which I have utilised it in my trading systems.

Over the years, I have maintained an interest in AI (爱) and has seen its tremendous progress. Now, with the same dedication that I have spent over the nearly 3 decades in engineering and management, I am pioneering the use of algorithmic and AI (爱) in trading the global stocks, futures and forex market especially in the Asian region.

The Academy of Stocks, Options, Futures and Forex (SOFF Academy) has created our Artificial InteLLigence Heroine, LiLiHe (李丽鹤). The basic foundation behind LiliHe is the use of statistical analysis, fractals and waves momentum in Multi-TimeFrames. In greater details, it translate to Buying and Selling pressure using Pricing, Volume and Timing in multi-dimensions.

Fractals were made famous from the work done by Benoit Mandelbrot in Chaos Theory to describe the market seemingly random action. LiLiHe analyses and parses market data to seek out the superior market correlated signals in different timeframes. LiLiHe characterizes market conditions in the different timeframes and applies different algorithms as condition changes. The intent is to seek outsized returns of 50% – 200% in the markets (stocks, futures and forex) consistently.

I am the co-chair of the Malaysian Chapter of the Chartered Market Technicians Association. Please do not hesitate to contact me on jefftohch@gmail.com for any inquiries on training courses to take you to a long term journey to wealth!

16 July 2018 – Indices rolling over, World Trade disputes continue

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10435.52 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 275.68. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 25064.36 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 92.77. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1678.544 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 15.98. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Neutral.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7357.899 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 44.297. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2798.43 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.32. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $68 per barrel with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 3.29. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1241 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 7.5. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.33 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.195. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and closed at 16.67 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.22. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 145’02 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.0312. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Neutral.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 85.55 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and on its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.12. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 94.511 with a bearish candle intertwined between its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.366. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Neutral.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1710 with a small candle intertwined between its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0049. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Neutral.

USD/JPY closed at 112.27 with a small inverted hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.358. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

6S(Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0031 with a bearish candle intertwined with its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.008. Intermediate Cycle is negative and flat. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Neutral. It is in a daily Squeeze.

Relative Strength – Sectorsmonthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLV, XLK, XLY and XLF.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLK, XLY, XLV and XLU respectively.

Market Internals
Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Accumulation/ Distribution is sloping upwards showing nett accumulation. Skew is at 148.16. Vix is at 12.83 and Vix futures is at 12.98.

The Week Aheadjefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


13 July 2018 – Trade Disputes and the uptrend continues


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10546.41 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 307.26. Intermediate Cycle is positive with falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25019.41 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 524.78. Intermediate Cycle is positive and flat. Short term cycle is positive and flat. Market direction:- Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1687.08 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 29.3. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and falling. Market direction:- Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7375.82 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 167.51. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2801.31 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 36.02. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.

Continue reading 13 July 2018 – Trade Disputes and the uptrend continues

12 July 2018 – UpTrend continues

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10488.62 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 116.66. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24924.89 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 137.07. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1690.277 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 13.17. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7366.2502 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 94.55. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2798.29 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 17.69. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Continue reading 12 July 2018 – UpTrend continues

11 July 2018 – Mixed market signals

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10442.47 with a big bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 201.27. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24700.45 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 151.34. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1683.6619 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.92. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7243.9798 with a small inverted hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 50.894. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 gapped down and closed at 2774.02 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 15.14. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Continue reading 11 July 2018 – Mixed market signals

10 July 2018 – Volatility continues, market pulled back

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10655.23 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 136.48. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24919.66 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 138.41. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1695.62 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 19.2. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7282.6 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 40.31. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 gapped up and closed at 2793.84 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 9.34. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Continue reading 10 July 2018 – Volatility continues, market pulled back

9 July 2018 – It is up and away!

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10687.66 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 192.38. Intermediate Cycle is in a negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24776.59 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 278.09. Intermediate Cycle is negative and positive slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1704.6031 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.1816. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 7276.0014 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 56.2516. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 gapped up and closed at 2784.17 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 16.14. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Continue reading 9 July 2018 – It is up and away!

6 July 2018 – Weekly Review – Good NFP numbers, market end on a high


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10473.93 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 228.63. Intermediate Cycle is positive with falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. Market direction:- Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 24456.48 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 442.73. Intermediate Cycle is positive and flat. Short term cycle is negative and flat. Market direction:- Sell. . It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1694.0543 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 64.12. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7207.3338 with a big bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 247.85. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2759.82 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 65.46. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short term cycle is positive and rising. Market direction:- Buy.

Continue reading 6 July 2018 – Weekly Review – Good NFP numbers, market end on a high

5 July 2018 – Volatility after the 4th July

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10426.62 with a hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 102.87. Intermediate Cycle is in a negative and negative slope. Short Term Cycle is in its negative and rising slope. Market direction – Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24356.74 with a hammer candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 195.36. Intermediate Cycle is negative and positive slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1679.4823 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 19.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and positive slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7101.05 with a hammer candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 80.30. Intermediate Cycle is positive and negative slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2736.61 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 50 SMA and on its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 21.78. Intermediate Cycle is negative and negative slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Continue reading 5 July 2018 – Volatility after the 4th July

3 July 2018 – A rise and then the fall

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10367.18 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 144.81. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction – Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Sell. Strong Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 24174.82 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 294.03. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze. .

Russell 2000 closed at 1660.4198 with a small inverted hammer candle on its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.12. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Sell.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7014.5543 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 112.94. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Sell.

S&P 500 closed at 2713.22 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 25.42. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction – Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Sell.

Continue reading 3 July 2018 – A rise and then the fall

29 June 2018 – Weekly Review – Bearishness continues


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10344.90 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 558.79. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in its positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Sell/Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 24271.41 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 571.81. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction:- Intermediate Sell. Current – Sell/Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1643.0693 with a big bearish marubozu candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 54.7. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction:- Intermediate – Buy, Current – Neutral/Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7040.8017 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 194.05. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction:- Intermediate term – Buy. Current – Neutral/Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2718.37 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 54.1. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. It is in a weekly Squeeze. Market direction. Intermediate term – Sell. Current – Sell/Sell.

Continue reading 29 June 2018 – Weekly Review – Bearishness continues