FRED

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

13 May 2020 – Fall continues

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YM – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ES – DownTrend and in a Squeeze.

The bears dominated trading. Volatility is compressed.

/CL UpTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a very compressed Squeeze. /ZB – UpTrend and in Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – DownTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Put/Call ratio – 0.999. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Long term volume trend is showing distribution. Vix – 35.28 and Vix Futures – 34.91. Skew – 123.43.

The Squeezes in the indices are indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market traded upward. Gold is now back above US$1700. Market Internals are indicating bearishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways with bearish bias. The prognosis is that the market is turning downward.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLK, XLY, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLP, XLE, XLU, XLI and XLF.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLK, XLY, XLP, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLB, XLU, XLE, XLI and XLF.  


To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

12 May 2020 – Indices tumbled

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YM – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ES – DownTrend and in a Squeeze.

The bears had a good day forcing the market to pull back. Volatility is getting compressed.

/CL UpTrend. /GC – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend and in Squeeze. HYG – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – DownTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.748. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Long term volume trend is still showing accumulation. Vix – 32.09 and Vix Futures – 31.55. Skew – 125.97.

The Squeezes in the indices are indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market traded upward. Gold is now back above US$1700. Market Internals are indicating bearishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways indicating that the market is risk adverse. The prognosis is that the market could be turning downward.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLK, XLY, XLP, SPY, XLB, SPX, /ES, XLE, XLU, XLI and XLF.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLK, XLY, XLY, XLP, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLB, XLU, XLE, XLI and XLF.  


To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

11 May 2020 – Volatility and Indecision!

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend and in a Squeeze.

The bears and bulls are fighting it out for the direction of the market. Volatility is getting compressed.

/CL UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GC – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend and in Squeeze. HYG – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – UpTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.702. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping Upward and showing accumulation. Long term volume trend is still showing accumulation. Vix – 27.57 and Vix Futures – 28.85. Skew – 129.10.

The Squeezes in the indices indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market is trading downward. Gold has pulled back just below US$1700. Market Internals are indicating bullishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways indicating that the market is risk adverse. The prognosis is for a continuing bullish market although the bears are challenging that.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, XLV, XLY, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLB, XLP, XLE, XLU, XLI and XLF.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLK, XLY, SPX, SPY, XLP, /ES, XLB, XLU, XLI, XLE and XLF.  


To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

8 May 2020 – Weekly Review – A week for the bulls

Summary (Weekly Chart)
$DJT – DownTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CL – DownTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBUpTrend. $DXY – DownTrend. HYG – DownTrend.

$DXY – DownTrend. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and in a Squeeze.

Summary (Daily Chart)
$DJT – DownTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CLUpTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZBUpTrend. HYGDownTrend.

$DXY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals (Daily Chart)
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.74. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Longer term Volume Acc/Dis is showing an UpTrend. Vix – 27.98 and Vix Futures – 29.41. Skew – 132.21.

As more countries are planning to transition away from the lockdown, market is responding to it positively. Market Internals are showing bullishness. Record unemployment in the USA has been factored in and the market continues its upward trajectory. With the FED conjuring unlimited amount of US dollars and purchasing US Treasury bonds and corporate bonds, this market will be left to run upwards and disconnect from the economy.

Oil continues to recover from its lows and have climbed above US$20 per barrel. Gold is range trading for around the US$1700 per Troy ounce.

The prognosis is for a continued upward trend for the indices.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, XLV, XLY, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLP, XLE, XLI, XLU and XLF.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLK, XLY, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLP, XLU, XLI, XLF and XLE.  


To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

7 May 2020 – Indices poised to break upward

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend and in a Squeeze.

The indices are poised to break upward as their volatility is compressed or squeezed.

/CL UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend and in Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend. DBC – UpTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a daily and weekly Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.719. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Long term volume trend is still showing accumulation. Vix – 31.44 and Vix Futures – 31.55. Skew – 130.68.

The Squeezes in the indices indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market reversed upward. Gold reversed upward as well. Market Internals are indicating bullishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways indicating that the market is risk adversed. The prognosis is for a bullish market as the energy from the compressed volatility in the indices are released upward.

Continue reading 7 May 2020 – Indices poised to break upward

6 May 2020 – ADP 20.2 M jobs loss

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YM – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend and in a Squeeze.

The indices are set up to make a big move due to the volatility compressions shown in them.

/CL UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GC – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend. USD/JPY – DownTrend.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.828. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Long term volume trend is still showing accumulation. Vix – 34.12 and Vix Futures – 34.35. Skew – 128.59.

There are Squeezes in the indices indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market pulled back as the FED signalled an interest rates. Gold pulled back as well even as the indices pulled back. Market Internals have changed its bias to the downside. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways with a bearish bias. The prognosis is for a range-trading market with increased in volatility.

Continue reading 6 May 2020 – ADP 20.2 M jobs loss

5 May 2020 – Squeezes in the Indices

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

The indices are set up to make a big move due to the volatility compression.

/CL UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – Sideways and in a preliminary Squeeze. HYGUpTrend.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend. USD/JPY – DownTrend.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.754. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Long term volume trend is still showing accumulation. Vix – 33.61 and Vix Futures – 34.94. Skew – 128.26.

There are Squeezes in the indices indicating that a big move is coming up. The bias is to the UPSIDE.

Bond market is trading sideways since the FED stepped in to support it. Short term market Internals are giving mixed signals but term signals are still supportive of a bullish bias. The HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways. The prognosis is for a range-trading market with compressed volatility but with a bullish bias.

Continue reading 5 May 2020 – Squeezes in the Indices

4 May 2020 – Economies start to re-open

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJT – DownTrend. /YMDownTrend. /RTY – DownTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ES – DownTrend.

/CL UpTrend. /GC – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – Sideways and in a Squeeze. $DXY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend.

$DXY – DownTrend. EUR/USDUpTrend. USD/JPY – DownTrend.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish. Put/Call ratio – 0.878. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Vix – 35.97 and Vix Futures – 35.25. Skew – 131.29.

The market is rather undecided. On one hand, the US economic data is poor but the stock market with the backing of Trillion dollar stimulus is doing reasonably well. Indices continue to grind upward in the hope that the businesses can re-open.

Bond market is now perceived to be controlled by the FED and is trading sideways in a range. Indices are given mixed signals. Market Sentiment is bearish. Market internals are giving mixed signals. Overall, the market is undecided. The HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading sideways. The prognosis is for a range-trading market to continue.

Continue reading 4 May 2020 – Economies start to re-open

1 May 2020 – Weekly Review – Tariff on China, Indices head downward

Summary (Weekly Chart)
$DJTDownTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYDownTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CLDownTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBUpTrend. $DXYUpTrend. HYGDownTrend.

Summary (Daily Chart)
$DJT – DownTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CLUpTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZBUpTrend. $DXYDownTrend. HYGDownTrend.

Market Internals (Daily Chart)
Market SentimentBearish. Put/Call ratio – 1.044. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Longer term Volume Acc/Dis is still showing an UpTrend. Vix – 37.19 and Vix Futures – 37.40. Skew129.97.

It has been a turbulent week from news that Gilead drug Remdesivir is effective against corona virus which sent the indices upwards to news that Trump will be putting on tariffs against China caused the market to tank. Market Sentiment has turned bearish. Market Breadth continues to show more gainers to losers. Market volume is showing distribution. Vix is flat for the week. Overall, market internals are giving mixed signals. The prognosis is for volatile market.

Continue reading 1 May 2020 – Weekly Review – Tariff on China, Indices head downward

30 April 2020 – Economic data catches up to the market

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CL DownTrend. /GC – UpTrend. /ZB – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. $DXY – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. HYGUpTrend.

Market Internals
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.817. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix – 34.15 and Vix Futures – 35.60. Skew – 130.38.

Economic data finally catches up to the market. The indices pulled back and surprisingly, US Treasure bond pulled back as well. Gold pulled back as well. Gold has pulled back below 1700. Market Sentiment is bullish. Market internals are showing bullishness. Overall, the market is giving bullish signals. The HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds made gains even as the indices were pulling back. The prognosis is for a Bullish market to continue.

Continue reading 30 April 2020 – Economic data catches up to the market