Indices Dow Transportation closed at 10590.66 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 138.68. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 36.8.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 28399.81 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMa and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 374.36. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 43.1.
Russell 2000 closed at 1632.2051 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 22.8163. Fractal Chaos Band – closed on its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.2.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 9126.2322 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 156.993. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 59.4.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 3248.92 with a bullish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMa and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 42.92. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 48.4.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $49.91 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 24.1.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1581 with a bearish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 25.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.5.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.31 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 16.9.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 163’20 with a bearish ‘hammer’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.5625. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 87.15 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.405. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 37.9.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.805 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.525. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 55.5.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1058 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0058. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 45.6.
USD/JPY closed at 108.67 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.5969. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 42.2.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLK, XLY, XLP, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLK, XLP, XLY, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and below signal threshold and showing distribution. Skew – 127.70. Vix – 17.97 and Vix Futures – 17.55. RSI – 49.6.
The Week Ahead Skew is normal. Vix is below 18 and Vix futures is below 18 and it is still elevated. Market Internals is still showing downward trend. Market sentiment is still extremely bullish.
US bond futures has been trending sideways but volatile. Gold has buying pressure but is current overbought. With the novel virus infection getting worse in China and its economic impact, it is likely the market will come under selling pressure for a while. The prognosis is for a volatile market.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
3 February 2020 – China quarantined!
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10590.66 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 138.68. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 36.8.
Dow Industrial gapped up and closed at 28399.81 with an inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMa and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 374.36. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 43.1.
Russell 2000 closed at 1632.2051 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 22.8163. Fractal Chaos Band – closed on its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.2.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 9126.2322 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 156.993. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 59.4.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3248.92 with a bullish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMa and above its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 42.92. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 48.4.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $49.91 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 24.1.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1581 with a bearish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 25.3. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.5.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.31 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 16.9.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 163’20 with a bearish ‘hammer’ candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.5625. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.1.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped down and closed at 87.15 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.405. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 37.9.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 97.805 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.525. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 55.5.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1058 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0058. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 45.6.
USD/JPY closed at 108.67 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.5969. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 42.2.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLU, XLK, XLY, XLP, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLU, XLK, XLP, XLY, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLI, XLB and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and below signal threshold and showing distribution. Skew – 127.70. Vix – 17.97 and Vix Futures – 17.55. RSI – 49.6.
The Week Ahead
Skew is normal. Vix is below 18 and Vix futures is below 18 and it is still elevated. Market Internals is still showing downward trend. Market sentiment is still extremely bullish.
US bond futures has been trending sideways but volatile. Gold has buying pressure but is current overbought. With the novel virus infection getting worse in China and its economic impact, it is likely the market will come under selling pressure for a while. The prognosis is for a volatile market.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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