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Z5 Fri 30 August 2024

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Z5 Thur, 8 August 2024

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Z5 Tue, 6 August 2024

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Z5 Mon, 5 August 2024

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Z5 Fri, 2 August 2024

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Z5 Wed, 31 July 2024

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Z5 Tue, 30 July 2024

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Z5 Mon, 29 July 2024

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10 February 2020 – Indices surged to record highs

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10866.58 with small bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range is 68.11. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 48.7.

Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 29276.82 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 282.41. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.3.

Russell 2000 closed at 1667.67 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 14.04. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 52.2.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 9516.8404 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 144.545. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.

S&P 500 (SPX) gapped down and closed at 3352.09 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 34.49. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.8.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $49.65 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.07. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 30.4.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1575.5 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 9. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 56.3.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped down and closed at 14.40 with a bearish doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.15. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 27.2.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 162’22 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.0625. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 59.9.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 88.09 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.22. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 53.6.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.856 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.283. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 69.4.


EUR/USD closed at 1.091 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.005. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 29.1.

USD/JPY closed at 109.76 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.3179. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.8.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPX, XLF, XLK, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLU, XLV, XLI, XLF, XLV, XLB and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPX, XLK, XLY, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLU, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLB and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downward and showing distribution. Skew – 133.29. Vix – 15.04 and Vix Futures – 15.35.   

The Week Ahead 
Skew is normal. Vix is below 16 and Vix futures is below 16. Market Internals are showing weakness. Market sentiment is extremely bullish. The indices closed at new all-time highs. The prognosis is for the bullishness to continue but the turnaround can be quick as the market internals are telling us.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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