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14 April 2020 – Optimism returns

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

/CLDownTrend and in Squeeze. /GCUpTrend. /ZBDownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. $DXYDownTrend. HYGUpTrend.

Market Internals
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.802. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix – 37.76 and Vix Futures – 33.45. Skew122.33.

The indices continued its uptrend. It has exited its Squeeze on the daily chart. Market Sentiment is bullish. The prognosis is that market internals are signalling bullishness.

Intermarket Analysis
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $20.82. Daily trading range – 3.13. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 35.1. It is in a Squeeze.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1755.6. Daily trading range – 41.7 Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.3.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 11.66. Daily trading range – 0.16. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 44.6.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 177’23. Daily trading range – 1.0. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 52.4. It is in a preliminary Squeeze.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 81.52. Daily trading range – 1.12. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.858. Daily trading range – 0.661. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 46.2.


EUR/USD closed at 1.098. Daily trading range – 0.0082. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.2.

USD/JPY closed at 107.20. Daily trading range – 0.7779. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 43.1.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLV, XLP, XLU, XLK, XLY, XLB, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLI, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLP, XLU, XLB, XLK, XLY, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLI, XLF and XLE.  


To Your Wealth!
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