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11 October 2022 – Indecisive day

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Downward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Downward momentum.
DBCNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/GC, /RTY

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.062
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 33.63

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLI, XLV, XLP, XLF, XLK, XLY, XLU and XLC.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLI, XLB, XLP, XLY, XLU, XLF, XLK and XLC.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, the /RTY had the usual volatility on market Open. It then showed the Bears were in control and it sold off and bottomed at about 10:10 am ET. The QTiTTs Buy signal came at 10:25 am ET and there was the initial false signal but the Bulls did manage to take the /RTY higher. It subsequently pulled back in late afternoon trading.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

QTiTTs – Following the signal

This is a study of using QTiTTs on the 11 October 2022. In today’s trading, the /RTY was trending downward prior to market Open. We were in a short position but unfortunately, the /RTY came back up to knock out our stoploss for no loss. It went up and hit resistance at the 55 SMA and 89 SMA. It was pushed back down below its 21 EMA. The QTiTTs DownTrend signal remained intact.

Chart 1: 11 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 1 above, we have the main chart (/RTY) and the understudies which are the $Tick and $ADD. Here at the beginning of the market open at 9:30 am, we noticed the following:

1 – We were in a Short trade but due to market volatility at market Open, our StopLoss was knocked out at no loss to the trade.
2 – The /RTY surged upward but was stopped by the 55 SMA and 89 SMA and the Bears managed to Close it below the 21 EMA.
3 – At #1 and #2, we could have taken the Short trade again which would have been a reasonable trade.
4 – At #3, we could have just followed the QTiTTs signal and held on to the trade. It was a steady and slow downTrend. The QTiTTs signal ends and the trade started to reverse into a slow upTrend.
5 – At #4, there was a false down signal to the downside. The candle closed below the 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 55 SMA. There was no 8/21 EMA crossing to the downside. The /RTY then reversed upward in subsequent candle.
6 – Once the QTiTTs signal appeared, the started to Trend upward.

Chart 2: 11 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 2 above, /RTY continued to trend upward. In today’s trade, the downTrend and the subsequent reversal was rather slow and steady unlike the trading of yesterday.

10 October 2022 – Interest rates dominate market

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Neutral momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Neutral momentum.
DBCUpTrend and Upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.969
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 32.45

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLI, XLF, XLV, XLC, XLP, XLY, XLU and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLP, XLU, XLC and XLK.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, the /RTY had a much tougher time trying to move upward as it has to go through many moving averages Resistances. With the current market being Bearish, downward movement as much faster with less resistances.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

QTiTTs – Bears short every Rally

This is a study of using QTiTTs on the 10 October 2022. In trading, trade management is the most important aspect of trading. In trade management, we are managing the Entry and Exit. With QTiTTs, we should strictly follow the QTiTTs dots in order to fully trade the system. The tendency is that we tend to outsmart the trading system which defeats the purpose of having the trading system in the first instance.

Chart 1: 10 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 1 above, we have the main chart (/RTY) and the understudies which are the $Tick and $ADD. Here at the beginning of the market open at 9:30 am, we noticed the following:

1 – There was the Sell Entry dots at #1 and the Sell Entry Red bar at #2.
2 – There was the Exit the Sell Short and Close the trade at #3. This result in a slight profit if there are no slippage.
3 – At #4, there was a failed breakout and if the signal was taken, the Exit close would be at #5. This is a failed trade.
4 – At #6 and then #7, there was a signal to Buy Long amongst all the moving averages. This is normally a poor trade as the candle Close is trapped between the moving averages and it is not likely to Trend.
5 – At #8, there was a failed BreakOut again.
6 – At #9, there was the Sell signal and this time around, the signal lasted much longer.

Chart 2: 10 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 2 above is an update on what transpired since and we know that any slow Rally has been shorted. This is a rather bearish market and the Bears are just out in numbers. The more important lesson to take from today’s trading is to take the Buy or Sell signal early. This means when the signal is confirmed, it should be taken. StopLoss must be put in and if possible, not loss position must be established. In a volatile market, it may be hit but that is part of trading. This is important to prevent uncontrolled losses.

Chart 3: 10 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In the chart above, we highlight the possibility of checking the signals from the $ADD. After the first 30 minutes after market opened, the market has settled down and the signal from the $ADD could be a leading indicator. But of course, all trade signals are to be taken as per the QTiTTs signals.

QTiTTs Challenge – 9 October 2022

We are having a QTiTTs challenge starting from today. The conditions are that we will be using the QTiTTs for trading the /RTY which is the Russell 2000 futures in this challenge. The objective is to make an average of USD 200 per day after the transaction costs.

Chart 1: 5 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

If we are able to consistently achieved an average of USD 200 per day, that is USD 1000 per week. Given that there are 52 weeks in a year, that translate to about USD 52,000 per year. Since there will be holidays throughout the year, we still should achieve something close to USD 50,000 a year per contract. This business is scalable and the future does look bright.

7 October 2022 – Weekly Review – Interest Rates Rise and Down Week

Chart 1: Weekly chart of the S&P 500 sectors

Summary (3-Day Chart)
$DJT – DownTrend
with downward momentum.
/YM – DownTrend with downward momentum.
/RTY – DownTrend with downward momentum.
/NQDownTrend with downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend with downward momentum.

/CLDownTrend with downward momentum.
/GCDownTrend with upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend with downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend with downward momentum.
DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

Summary (Daily Chart)
$DJTDownTrend with downward momentum.
/YMDownTrend with downward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend with downward momentum.
/NQDownTrend with downward momentum.
/ESDownTrend with neutral momentum.

/CLUpTrend with Upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend with Upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend with Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend with Upward momentum.
DBCUpTrend with Upward momentum.

$DXYUpTrend with Downward momentum.
EUR/USDDownTrend with Upward momentum.
USD/JPYUpTrend with Upward momentum.

US Dollar is in an uptrend.

Tight Squeezes
USD/JPY

Squeezes (Daily)
/BTC

Preliminary Squeezes (Daily)

Market Internals

Market Internals (Daily Chart)
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.032
Market Breadth – below the signal line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below the signal line showing distribution.
Vix – 31.36

Market Internals are signaling Bearishness.

Table 1: Tabulation of the S&P 500 Sectors

On a 3-monthly period, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLB, XLV, XLI, XLF, XLC, XLK, XLU, XLP and XLY.

On a 12-monthly period, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLK, XLU, XLC and XLP.

1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

QTiTTs – Managing the Trade

This is a study of using QTiTTs on the 7 October 2022. In trading, trade management is most important aspect of trading. In trade management, we are managing the Entry and Exit. With QTiTTs, we should strictly follow the QTiTTs dots in order to fully trade the system. The tendency is that we tend to outsmart the trading system which defeats the purpose of having the trading system in the first instance.

Chart 1: 7 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 1 above, we have the main chart (/RTY) and the understudy which is the $ADD. Here at the beginning of the market open at 9:30 am, we noticed that while the $ADD was trending upward, the /RTY was volatile with a Bearish bias. The other thing to note is that the magnitude of the move in $ADD does not correspond with the magnitude of the move in the /RTY main chart. Here the /RTY was mostly trending downward after market Open.

In chart 1 above shows the divergence which are marked as #1 and #2. When in doubt, just follow the QTiTTs dots as it follows the candle Close movement on the chart.

Chart 2: 7 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 2 above, we have put a line over the QTiTTs dots. Not every trade using QTiTTs will be profitable. In a volatile market, it is possible that we might not be profitable on some trades which can be expected. But by using QTiTTs, we will have some outsize trades and a few losers but the lost will likely be small. Hence with such a management system, we are certain that it will be profitable over prolonged period.

Chart 3: 7 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

In chart 3 above, it is shown how trade management with QTiTTs looks like. With trade management, it is best to just follow the colour of the QTiTTs dots and ignore the volatility on the main chart in order to perform well. The tendency for most traders are that they are shaken out by the volatility such that if the QTiTTs dots are followed, it would have resulted in a very profitable trade.

6 October 2022 – Volatility

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Upward momentum.
/RTYDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/GCNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Upward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Upward momentum.
DBCUpTrend and Upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.135
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – above threshold line showing accumulation overall.
Vix – 30.52

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLC, XLY, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLK, XLC, XLU and XLP.

1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

QTiTTs – Just a normal day with QTiTTs

This is a study of using QTiTTs on the 6 October 2022. We have proven that QTiTTs is simple to use as it is a graphical system. Just by looking at the QTiTTs dots and also the Trend and Momentum dots, we know when to ENTER into a trade and also when to EXIT a trade.

The dots are as follows:
1. QTiTTs – 8 EMA crossing ABOVE the 21 EMA and Close is ABOVE the 55 SMA. Green BUY dots.
2. QTiTTs – 8 EMA crossing BELOW the 21 EMA and Close is BELOW the 55 SMA. White SELL dots.
3. TREND Buy Green dots – Close is ABOVE 55 SMA and above either 8 EMA or 21 EMA.
4. TREND Sell White dots – Close is BELOW 55 SMA and below either 8 EMA or 21 EMA.
5. Momentum Buy Green dots – LongTide is above its signal line.
6. Momentum Sell White dots – LongTide is below its signal line.
7. Momentum Buy Green dots – Short Ripple is either Yellow or Cyan.
8. Momentum Sell White dots – Short Ripple is either Blue or White.

And that is the core of the QTiTTs rules.

In today’s trade, we followed the Entry rules but exited early due to the volatility.

Chart 1: 6 October 2022 – 1 minute chart showing the Entry points and also the possible Exit points

Chart 1 above shows Enter Trade Buy #1. Under an ideal system, we would have exited on the Close Trade #1.

Likewise, we have the Enter Trade Buy #2. The exit is at Close Trade #2.

5 October 2022 – A drop and a rally

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/YM DownTrend and Upward momentum.
/RTYNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/GCNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Upward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Upward momentum.
DBCUpTrend and Upward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
USD/JPY

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/CL

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremel Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 0.953
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 28.55

Market internals are Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLB, XLF, XLI, XLK, XLC, XLY, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLU, XLI, XLB, XLF, XLY, XLK, XLP and XLC.

1 minute chart QTiTTs

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade Stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.

Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA