FRED

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 28 June 2017

28 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 27 June 2017

27 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Futures (ES, NQ, GC, CL) – 23 June 17

23 June 2017

Daily status of the futures of Gold (GC), WTI Crude (CL), Nasdaq 100 (NQ) and S&P 500 (ES)

Options – 18 December 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

14 December 2015

We closed this CALL credit spread and bought it back for $0.05. Overall, it was a small profit to be redeployed for the next trade.

8 December 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2135/2145 for $1.10. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.10/8.90 = 12.36 % excluding transaction cost. The PUT credit spread was closed for $1.75.

27 November 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 2015/2005 for $1.15. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.15/8.85 = 13.00 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 18 December 2015 (EST)

Options – 21 August 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

21 August 2015

This PUT credit spread expired worthless. The Settlement price was 2015.47.

13 July 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 21 August 2015 (EST)

Options – 17 July 15 Monthly Income – Bull PUT on SPX

Update

13 July 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is this coming Friday morning.

15 June 2015

We sold a monthly PUT credit spread at 1980/1970 for $1.30. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.30/8.70 = 14.94 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 17 July 2015 (EST)

Options – 18 June 15 Monthly Income – Bear Call on SPX

Update

5 June 2015

We closed this trade by buying it back for $0.05. Option expiration is another 2 weeks away.

18 May 2015

We sold a monthly CALL credit spread at 2185/2195 for $1.05. The total Return-on-Risk for this new trade is 1.05/8.95 = 11.7 % excluding transaction cost. Expiration is at 9:30 am, 19 June 2015 (EST)

23 October 2018 – Down Trend continues, Late day rally

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10237.02 with a bearish “hammer” candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 371.42. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Dow Industrial gapped down and closed at 25191.43 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 548.62. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Russell 2000 closed at 1526.5874 with a hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 38.465. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7118.6745 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 215.57. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

S&P 500 gapped down and closed at 2740.69 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 64.45. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $66.09 per barrel with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 3.92. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1233.2 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 18.5. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.66 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.2. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 17.38 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.45. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 138’04 with a bullish candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.5312. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bulish.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.94 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.28. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias- Bearish.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.951 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.351. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Weekly Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1469 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0013. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

USD/JPY closed at 112.81 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.8859. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.01 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0033. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLK, XLB and XLY.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLU, XLP, XLK, XLV, XLB and XLY respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Market Breadth continues to slope downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Accumulation/Distribution is sloping downwards which means the market is in distribution. Vix is at 20.71. Vix futures is at 18.75. Skew is at 126.54.

The Week Ahead
Market Breadth is still showing more losers than gainers. The market is in distribution mode. Vix has gone back up above 20. Vix futures is above 18. Vix is in backwardation which means that the market is going through a volatile period and with expectation of the volatility coming down in the near term. Skew is normal. The prognosis is for the volatility to continue.

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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