Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10365.53 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 208.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Dow Industrial closed at 24464.69 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 206.51. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Russell 2000 closed at 1488.28 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 30.364. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 6575.663 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 112.41. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
S&P 500 closed at 2649.93 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 28.84. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.64 per barrel with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 2.47. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1226.7 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.8. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.24 with a small spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.76 with a low closing doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.29. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 139’26 with an small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.5. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 83.17 with an doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.59. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias- Bearish.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.715 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.373. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Bearish. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a daily and Weekly Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1381 with a low closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0062. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
USD/JPY closed at 113.04 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA and on its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 509. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0076 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0031. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is positive and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Squeeze.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLE, XLU, XLY and XLK.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLU, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLE, XLY and XLK respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Accumulation/Distribution is sloping downwards which means the market is in distribution mode. Vix is at 20.80. Vix futures is at 19.95. Skew is at 119.31.
The Week Ahead
Market internals are giving bearish signals. Vix has reduced to above 20. Skew is normal. The prognosis is for the market to remain volatile.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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21 November 2018 – A small upbump in a bearish market
Indices
Dow Transportation gapped down and closed at 10365.53 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 208.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
Dow Industrial closed at 24464.69 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 206.51. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Russell 2000 closed at 1488.28 with a bullish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 30.364. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling. Short Cycle is negative and falling. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Nasdaq 100 gapped up and closed at 6575.663 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 112.41. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
S&P 500 closed at 2649.93 with a bearish inverted hammer candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 28.84. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $54.64 per barrel with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 2.47. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Gold futures (GC) closed at 1226.7 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.8. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 17.24 with a small spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a weekly Squeeze.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.76 with a low closing doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.29. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 139’26 with an small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.5. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 83.17 with an doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.59. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias- Bearish.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.715 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.373. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Bearish. Fractal Bias – Bearish. It is in a daily and Weekly Squeeze.
EUR/USD closed at 1.1381 with a low closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0062. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is negative and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish.
USD/JPY closed at 113.04 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA and on its 21 EMA. Daily trading range was 509. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. Fractal Bias – Bearish.
6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0076 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0031. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short Cycle is positive and rising. Market direction: Buy. Fractal Bias – Bullish. It is in a Squeeze.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLE, XLU, XLY and XLK.
On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLU, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLV, XLE, XLY and XLK respectively.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Accumulation/Distribution is sloping downwards which means the market is in distribution mode. Vix is at 20.80. Vix futures is at 19.95. Skew is at 119.31.
The Week Ahead
Market internals are giving bearish signals. Vix has reduced to above 20. Skew is normal. The prognosis is for the market to remain volatile.
To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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