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Z5 Fri, 29 March 2024

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3 January 2019 – Oil goes up, market goes down

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 8881.49 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 351.98. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Sell. 

Dow Industrial closed at 22686.22 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 707.83. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1330.83 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 27.91. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6147.13 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 221.47. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2447.89 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 66.07. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $46.97 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 2.14. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1296.2 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.5. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF closed at 16.97 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0771. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 14.65 with a doji candle on its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.23. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 148’17 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.875. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.  

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 81.03 with a bullish spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.37. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.272 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.544. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.     

EUR/USD closed at 1.1392 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.01. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

USD/JPY closed at 107.65 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.016. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.  It suffered a flash crash in the Asian hour trading which is an ominous warning.

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0203 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0057. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.  

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLB and XLI.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLF, XLY, XLB and XLI respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bearish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 112.22. Vix is at 25.45 and Vix Futures is at 24.10.   

The Week Ahead
The day started with news of Apple projected drop in revenue from Greater China and China which sent the Indices tumbling. It also triggered off a flash crash in the USD/JPY. This is an ominous warning to the market. Market sentiment is bearish which is an advance warning. It has been a long time since the market is flashing bearish sentiment. Market Internals are still showing strength. The prognosis is for the indices to continue trending down .

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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