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8 January 2019 – High hopes on trade talks

Indices
Dow Transportation gapped up and closed at 9447.85 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 248.21. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Dow Industrial closed at 23787.45 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 333.3. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction – Buy. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1426.5521 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 31.16. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6551.8473 with a high closing doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 117.73. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2574.41 with a small high closing spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 32.26. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $49.79 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.64. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1286.1 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 11.2. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped up and closed at 17.28 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.25. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.11 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.17. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 145’22 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.8125. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.  

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 83.73 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.56. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 95.902 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.369. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It has exited its daily and weekly Squeeze.     

EUR/USD closed at 1.1440 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0062. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a daily and weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 108.72 with a doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.641. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Sell. 

6S (Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0255 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0047. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.  

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLF.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLI, XLB and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 115.30. Vix is at 20.47 and Vix Futures is at 20.50.   

The Week Ahead
Market Sentiment is rather bullish and there are plenty of optimism that there will be a trade deal between China and USA. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures are still elevated above 20 and it is telling us that the market is prepared for pullbacks. The prognosis is for a bullish market but with caution.

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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