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8 Feb 2019 – Weekly Review – Trade Wars and Uncertainties


Indices (Weekly chart)
Dow Transportation closed at 10177.03 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 223.64. Intermediate Cycle is negative with rising slope. Short term cycle is negative with rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.     

Dow Industrial closed at 25106.33 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 556. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Russell 2000 closed at 1506.3943 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 29.85. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising. Short term cycle is negative and rising. Market direction:- Buy.      

Nasdaq 100 closed at 6913.13 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 198.24. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

S&P 500 closed at 2707.88 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 57.15. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.   

Metals and Commodities (Weekly charts)
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $52.71 per barrel with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Weekly trading range was 3.95. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1318.2 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA , 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 17.2. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.  

Bonds (Weekly charts)
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 146’26 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 2.063. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 84.79 with a low closing bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.69. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.         

Currencies (Weekly charts)
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.638 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 1.119. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short term cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1317 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0142. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction:- Buy.       

USD/JPY closed at 109.72 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.732. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell.    

6S (Swiss Franc) closed at 1.0030 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Weekly trading range was 0.0082. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short term cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction:- Sell. It is in a weekly and monthly Squeeze.  

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLK, XLU and XLF respectively.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLK, XLE, XLY and XLF respectively.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 127.72. Vix is at 15.72 and Vix futures 16.65.

The Week Ahead
The indices are pausing amidst uncertainties in the trade negotiations between China and the USA. Gold has reversed upwards and oil fallen slightly. Market sentiment is slightly bullish. Market internals are giving mixed signals. Skew is normal. Vix and Vix futures is above 16. The prognosis is for more volatility.  

To YOUR wealth!

Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.



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