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Z5 Fri, 14 June 2024

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Z5 Tues, 28 May 2024

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Z5 Mon, 27 May 2024 – Memorial Day

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4 March 2019 – Down Transportation and Russell 2000 leading the indices downwards?

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10399.73 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 229.94. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25819.65 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 544.43. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1575.4367 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 29.76. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7150.8333 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 132.54. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2792.81 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 49.22. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy.    

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $57.45 per barrel with a small bullish candle below its 200 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.25. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1287.7 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 14.3. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.83 with a bearish candle intertwined between its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.25. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 144’11 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.969. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.48 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.415. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.64 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.485. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.1339 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.006. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 111.72 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.37. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLK, XLB, XLI, XLU, XLF and XLY.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLE, XLK, XLY and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment is bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 125.04. Vix is at 14.63 and Vix Futures is at 15.43.  

The Week Ahead 
Dow Transportation and Russell 2000 is leading the indices downwards. Gold continues selling off. Oil has the Sell signal. Vix and Vix futures are below 15 and 16 respectively. Skew is normal. Market internals are weakening. The prognosis is for the indices to turn downwards.    

To YOUR wealth!
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