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Z5 Mon, 11 March 2024

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11 March 2019 – Huge Rally in the indices

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10312.92 with a big bullish marubozu candle on its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 200 SMA and above its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 220.9. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction – Sell.

Dow Industrial closed at 25650.88 with a big bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 453.63. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Term Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction – Sell. 

Russell 2000 closed at 1548.8766 with a big bullish marubozu candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 27.04. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7164.0204 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 151.235. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2783.30 with a big bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 40.93. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.  

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $56.77 per barrel with a small bullish candle above its 8EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.05. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.     

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1293.3 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 4.9. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and positive slope. Market direction: Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.79 with a bullish candle intertwined between its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and above its 50 SMA and below its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.1. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell.   

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 145’22 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.6562. Intermediate Cycle is negative and rising slope. Short Cycle is negative and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 85.38 with a bullish marubozu candle on its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.34. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.946 with a huge bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.4949. Intermediate Cycle is positive and rising slope. Short Cycle is positive and rising slope. Market direction: Buy.      

EUR/USD closed at 1.1243 with a spinning top doji candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0036. Intermediate Cycle is negative and falling slope. Short Cycle is negative and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

USD/JPY closed at 111.19 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA and above its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and on its 200 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.43. Intermediate Cycle is positive and falling slope. Short Cycle is positive and falling slope. Market direction: Sell. 

Relative Strength – Sectors On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLB, XLK, XLU, XLE and XLI.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLI, XLK, XLE, XLY and XLF respectively.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment has turned bullish. Market Breadth is sloping downwards showing more losers to gainers. Volume Acc/Dis is sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew is at 132.93. Vix is at 14.33 and Vix Futures is at 14.91.  

The Week Ahead 
The indices have reversed upwards without any news. The market is now rather volatile with big reversals likely to occur. The market continues to be volatile so trade with caution.    

To YOUR wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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