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28 August 2019 – Another indecisive market

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 9907.15 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 255.37. Fractal Chaos Band – Closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and fall. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 43.8.

Dow Industrial closed at 26036.10 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 404.14. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 47.3.

Russell 2000 closed at 1472.713 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 27.71. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 42.9.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7587.8962 with a bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 97.9. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 46.7.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 2887.94 with a bullish candle below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 36.98. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 46.7.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $55.9 per barrel with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.41. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 50.4.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1548.6 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 15.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.5.

Commodities (DBC) ETF gapped up and closed at 15.03 with a small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.12. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 48.2.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 165’18 with a small bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.344. Fractal Chaos Band – Within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 66.8.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.15 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.305. Fractal Chaos Band – above the FCB Upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.4.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.194 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.266. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.2.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1076 with a small bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0024. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.4.

USD/JPY closed at 106.09 with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.576. Fractal Chaos Band – within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Weak DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 43.9.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLU, XLY, /ES, XLK, SPY, SPX, XLI, XLV, XLB, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLU, XLK, XLY, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLI, XLB, XLF, XLV and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Slightly Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 113.65. Vix – 19.35 and Vix Futures – 19.75.   

The Week Ahead 
Market Sentiment is slightly bullish. Skew is low. Vix is below 20. Vix Futures is below 20. Market volume has turned upwards. High Yield junk bonds have been on an uptrend which is positive for the equity market. Market Internals are showing mixed signal. The prognosis is for an indecisive market and continued volatility.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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