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12 December 2019 – Conservatives won, Trade deal is on

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10789.41 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 230.96. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 52.7.

Dow Industrial closed at 28132.05 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 365.08. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 61.9.

Russell 2000 closed at 1644.813 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 24.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.7.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8466.8941 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 113.02. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 65.8.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3168.57 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 37.81. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $59.22 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.97. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 60.8.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1474.1 with a bearish candle below its 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 23.4. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Market direction – Weak UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 48.8.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.79 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.16. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 60.4.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 156’27 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 2.8437. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 38.7.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.52 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.285. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 64.7.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 96.736 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.931. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB lowerband. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 31.1.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1127 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0051. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 67.1.

USD/JPY closed at 109.27 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.989. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 61.4.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are /ES, XLK, XLB, XLF, XLV, SPX, SPY, XLI, XLP, XLE and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are /ES, XLK, XLB, SPX, SPY, XLF, XLV, XLP, XLI, XLY, XLU and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Skew – 132.68. Vix – 13.94 and Vix Futures – 13.35.   

The Week Ahead 
The Conservatives have won the British election paving the way for Brexit. The US-China Trade War is now set to have a truce with a Phase 1 deal. Market Internals are showing strength. Vix and Vix Futures are pricing in volatility and below 14. Skew is normal. Bond Futures sold off when the indices took off upwards. The prognosis is for continuing upTrend with volatility.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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