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19 May 2020 – Volatility returns

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and in preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ES – DownTrend and in a Squeeze.

Volatility is compressed.

/CL UpTrend. /GCUpTrend and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend and in Squeeze. HYGUpTrend and in a Squeeze. DBCUpTrend and exited preliminary Squeeze.

Commodities is making a move which is rather bullish for the market.

$DXYDownTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend and in a Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.615. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upward and showing accumulation. Vix –30.53 and Vix Futures – 31.05. Skew – 127.48.

The Squeezes in the indices are indicating that a big move is coming up.

Bond market has pulled back. Gold is now back above US$1700 as the indices surged. Market Internals are indicating bullishness. HYG which is the ETF for high yield bonds is trading upwards. The prognosis is that the market is volatile but with bullish bias.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLK, /ES, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLE, XLV, XLP, XLI, XLF and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLV, XLK, XLY, /ES, XLB, SPY, SPX, XLP, XLU, XLI, XLE and XLF.  


To Your Wealth!
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