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25 August 2020 – New highs in Nasdaq and S&P 500

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend. /YMUpTrend. /RTYUpTrend. /NQUpTrend. /ESUpTrend.

The indices continue to trend upward.

/CL – Sideways and in a Squeeze. /GC – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend. HYGUpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend.

Junk bond (HYG) is trending upwards and DBC is in an UpTrend. This is a sign that the uptrend is still intact.

$DXYUpTrend and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – UpTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Very Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.523. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –22.08. Vix Futures – 25.50. Skew – 146.53.

The indices continued to power upwards. It is likely that we are in an exuberant market where there is too much liquidity. Market Breadth has narrowed and only a few major companies such as Apple are powering upwards.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, SPX, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLF, XLU and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPX, XLY, SPY, XLK, /ES, XLP, XLV, XLB, XLI, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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