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8 September 2020 – Is the Market pricing in a Trump election loss?

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJT – DownTrend. /YM – DownTrend. /RTY – DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ – DownTrend. /ES – DownTrend.

The indices continue to pullback. How far will it go?

/CL – DownTrend. /GC – Sideways and in a tight Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend. HYG –DownTrend and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – DownTrend.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are both on a down Trend.

$DXY – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – UpTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with sideways momentum and in a Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.663. Market Breadth – sloping downward showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Vix –31.46. Vix Futures – 30.65. Skew – 132.51.

Indices continue to pullback.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLB, XLY, XLI, XLP, XLF, XLU, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLV, XLK and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLB, XLY, XLV, XLP, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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