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22 September 2020 – Volatility increases

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJT – DownTrend and upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YM – DownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /RTY – DownTrend with Downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ – DownTrend and Downward momentum. /ES – DownTrend and Downward momentum.

The indices are turning downward. Momentum has shifted downwards.

/CL – DownTrend with downward momentum. /GC – Downtrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – UpTrend and Downward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are giving warning that the market is turning downwards.

$DXY – UpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. EUR/USD – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.63. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Vix –26.86. Vix Futures – 31.10. Skew – 130.08.

The market internals are indicating that the indices are turning downwards.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, XLY, XLB, XLK, XLP, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLV, XLU, XLF and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLI, XLK, XLU, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLB, XLV, XLF and XLE.  


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