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1 October 2020 – Waiting for the October surprise!

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTY – DownTrend with Upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and Upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ES – UpTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are turning upward again.

/CL – Downtrend and downward momentum. /GC – Downtrend and downward momentum. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with downward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – DownTrend and downward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze.

It is still a risk off market. Junk bond (HYG) is turning upwards and DBC is rending downwards with downward momentum.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USD – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.579. Market Breadth – sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –28.45. Vix Futures – 31.55. Skew – 117.78.

Sentiment continues to be bullish and indices are showing signs of turning upwards. Vix remains high indicating high volatility. Skew is normal.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLY, XLI, XLU, XLK, XLP, XLV, SPX, SPY, XLB, XLF, /ES and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLV, SPX, XLB, SPY, XLP, XLK, /ES, XLI, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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