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6 October 2020 – No more stimulus talks, indices tanked

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /RTYUpTrend with Upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQUpTrend and Upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ES – Sideways and Upward momentum.

The indices turned downwards as stimulus talks are suspended.

/CL – Sideways and sideward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GC – DownTrend and downward momentum. /ZB – DownTrend with downward momentum and in a tight Squeeze. HYG – DownTrend with upward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze. DBC – Neutral and upward momentum and a preliminary Squeeze.

It is still a risk on market. Junk bond (HYG) is turning upwards and DBC is sideways.

$DXY – UpTrend with downward momentum. EUR/USD – DownTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPY – DownTrend and with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.64. Market Breadth – sloping upwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Vix –27.48. Vix Futures – 31.20. Skew – 120.05.

Indices pulled back as Trump cancelled stimulus talks. Sentiment continues to be bullish and indices are turning upwards. Vix remains high indicating high volatility. Skew is normal.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLB, XLU, XLI, XLY, XLF, XLV, XLK, SPX, XLP, SPY, /ES and XLE.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLY, XLB, XLV, SPX, SPY, /ES, XLP, XLI, XLK, XLU, XLF and XLE.  


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