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23 February 2021 – Volatility increases

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and downward momentum. /NQDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with downward momentum.

The indices is losing momentum upwards. It looks to want to have a rest and is pulling back slightly.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. HYGSideward Trend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) is trending sidewards but DBC continued on its UpTrend. Caution is needed in this market.

$DXYDownTrend with downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Extremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.594. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 136.64. Vix – 23.11.

Market internals are giving mixed signal and is indicating a volatile market.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLF, XLE, XLI, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLB, XLK, XLY, XLV, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLE, XLB, XLK, XLY, XLI, XLF, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLV, XLU and XLP.

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