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4 March 2021 – Bond yield rises, Indices pulled back

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /RTYDownTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /NQDownTrend with downward momentum. /ESDownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze.

The indices are in a down trend.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. HYGDownTrend with downward momentum. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) is in a down trend but DBC is in an upTrend. Volatility has increased in the market and caution is needed in this market.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.677. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 137.19. Vix – 28.57.

Market internals are giving mixed signal and is indicating a volatile market pulling back.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLF, XLI, XLB, SPY, SPX, /ES, XLV, XLY, XLK, XLU and XLP.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLE, XLF, XLI, SPY, XLB, SPX, /ES, XLK, XLY, XLV, XLP and XLU.

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