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18 March 2021 – Market pulled back

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQDownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze.

After many days of new all-time highs, the indices have found a reason to pull back.

/CLDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCDownTrend and upward momentum. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum. HYGDownTrend with downward momentum. DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are both in a DownTrend. Volatility has increased in the market.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.548. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 148.11. Vix – 21.58.

Market internals have turned. Market Sentiment is still showing extreme bullishness but the rest of the other market internals are indicating bearishness. Overall, the market is signalling bearishness.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, XLF, XLB, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLE, XLP, XLY, XLU, XLV and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLI, XLB, XLF, /ES, SPY, SPX, XLY, XLK, XLP, XLE, XLV and XLU.

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