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25 March 2021 – US dollar surged upwards

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and downward momentum. /RTYDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQDownTrend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

The Dow Transportation is trending upwards and could be leading the other indices.

/CLDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and upward momentum. HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) is now in an upTrend while DBC is in a DownTrend. Volatility has increased in the market.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum. USD/JPYUpTrend with upward momentum.

Market Internals
Market SentimentBullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.727. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards and showing distribution. Skew – 140.86. Vix – 19.81.

Market internals continues to show bearishness.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLI, XLU, XLB, /ES, XLF, SPX, SPY, XLE, XLY, XLV and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLI, /ES, XLB, SPX, XLP, SPY, XLF, XLY, XLV, XLK, XLE and XLU.

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