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30 March 2021 – A divergent market

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and upward momentum. /RTYDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQSideward Trend with downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

The indices are showing volatility and divergence.

/CLDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /GCDownTrend and downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /ZBDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. HYGUpTrend with upward momentum and in a Squeeze. DBCDownTrend with downward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) is now in an upTrend while DBC is in a DownTrend. Volatility has increased in the market.

$DXYUpTrend with upward momentum. EUR/USDDownTrend with downward momentum. USD/JPYUpTrend with sideward momentum.

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.598. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 142.2. Vix – 19.81.

Market internals are showing bearishness.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLI, /ES, SPX, XLB, SPY, XLP, XLU, XLF, XLV, XLY, XLE and XLK.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLI, SPX, /ES, SPY, XLB, XLP, XLF, XLV, XLY, XLK, XLE and XLU.

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