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13 July 2021 – New highs and divergences

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /YMUpTrend and Upward momentum. /RTYDownTrend and downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ UpTrend and upward momentum and new All-Time high. /ESUpTrend with upward momentum and new All-Time high.

The indices are giving mixed signals. The Dow Transportation is heading downwards but the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are making new All-time highs.

/CLUpTrend and upward momentum and in a Squeeze. /GCUpTrend and upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /ZBUpTrend and downward momentum. HYGUpTrend with downward momentum. DBCUpTrend with upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are diverging.

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.542. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew – 154.4. Vix – 17.12.

Market internals are showing bullish bias and the Skew is high. The number of stocks going up is narrowing. The stage is set for this market to continue to be volatile and reverse downward.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, /NQ, /ES, XLV, /YM, XLY, XLE, /RTY, XLP, XLF, XLI, XLU, XLB and $DJT.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are /ES, XLK, XLV, /NQ, /YM, XLY, XLF, XLI, /RTY, XLE, XLP, XLB, $DJT and XLU.

To Your Wealth!
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