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28 October 2021 – Volatility increases

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. /NQ UpTrend and accelerating upward momentum. /ESUpTrend with accelerating upward momentum.

The indices are now in an upTrend and there was a pullback after many days of gains.

/CLUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /GCUpTrend and accelerating upward momentum. /ZBUpTrend and decelerating downward momentum. HYGDownTrend with decelerating downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCUpTrend with decelerating upward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are trending in opposite directions. This indicates a risk-on market.

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.583. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping downwards showing distribution. Skew – 144.73. Vix – 16.53.

Market internals are showing bullish bias.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLK, XLY, XLF, XLE, XLB, XLI, XLV, XLP and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLK, XLY, XLF, XLE, XLI, XLV, XLP, XLB and XLU.

To Your Wealth!
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