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15 November 2021 – Tapering begins, indices fell

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /YMUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /RTYUpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /NQ UpTrend and decelerating upward momentum. /ESUpTrend with decelerating upward momentum.

The indices are still in an upTrend but has lost momentum.

/CLDownTrend and accelerating downward momentum and in a Squeeze. /GC UpTrend and accelerating upward momentum. /ZBDownTrend and decelerating upward momentum. HYGDownTrend with accelerating downward momentum and in a preliminary Squeeze. DBCSideward Trend with decelerating downward momentum.

Junk bond (HYG) and DBC are trending sideward with bearish bias. This indicates the market is now range trading and could be turning downwards.

Market Internals

Market Internals
Market SentimentExtremely Bullish. Put/Call ratio – 0.483. Market Breadth – sloping downwards showing more losers than gainers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards showing accumulation. Skew – 142.38. Vix – 16.49.

Market internals are showing bullish bias.

Relative Strength – Sectors.

Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLP, XLB, XLI, XLK, XLE, XLF, XLY, XLV and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are XLP, XLI, XLB, XLK, XLF, XLE, XLY, XLV and XLU.

To Your Wealth!
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