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17 October 2022 – Rally at last

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/YMNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/RTYNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/NQDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/ESDownTrend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Downward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Downward momentum.
HYGDownTrend and Upward momentum.
DBCDownTrend and Downward momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
$DXY, /ES, /NQ, /RTY, /YM, EUR/USD

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
$DJI, $DJT, /GC, /ZB, /ZN, HYG, NDX, SPX

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.129
Market Breadth – below threshold line showing more losers than gainers.
Volume Acc/Dis – below threshold line showing distribution overall.
Vix – 31.37

QTiTTs signal is Bearish.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLF, XLI, XLC, XLB, XLK, XLP, XLY and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLF, XLU, XLI, XLP, XLB, XLK, XLY and XLC.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, the /RTY had the usual volatility on market Open. It then showed the Bulls were in control for the first hour of the trading day. For the rest of the day, the $ADD (difference of the advancer and decliners) has a general downward trend, the /RTY held if own. What has happened is that the /RTY has reached the 21 EMA on the daily chart.

To Your Wealth!
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Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

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