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27 October 2022 – Bulls hit a Wall of Resistance

Chart 1: Overall market analysis of the indices, oil, gold, bond and US dollar index

Summary (The Week Ahead)
$DJTNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/YMUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/RTYNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/NQNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
/ESNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.

The indices are trending downward and momentum is downward.

/CLUpTrend and Upward momentum.
/GCDownTrend and Upward momentum.
/ZBDownTrend and Upward momentum.
HYGNeutral Trend and Upward momentum.
DBCUpward Trend and Neutral momentum.

Daily Tight Squeezes (The Week Ahead)

Daily Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
/BTC, /CL, /ES, /NQ, /RTY

Preliminary Squeezes (The Week Ahead)
$DJT, $DXY, EUR/USD, HYG, NDX, SPX

Chart 2 – Market Internals

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bearish.
Put/Call ratio – 1.051
Market Breadth – above threshold line showing more gainers than losers.
Volume Acc/Dis – above threshold line showing accumulation overall.
Vix – 27.39

QTiTTs signal is Neutral.

Relative Strength – Sectors

Chart 3 – Ranking the Strength of the S&P 500 ETFs over 12 month period

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLF, XLI, XLP, XLB, XLU, XLK, XLY and XLC.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are XLE, XLV, XLI, XLP, XLF, XLU, XLB, XLK, XLY and XLC.

Chart 4 -1 minute day chart with QTiTTs

In chart 4 above, there was the initial violent up/down movement that characterize the market Open. The Bulls had the initial advantage but the Bears did not give up. At about 9:45 am ET, the Bears finally overwhelmed the Bulls and took the market down till about 10 am. After that, the Bulls came back in and took it higher but it was very much a range trading tussle till near to 2 pm ET when the Bears finally took the /RTY down.

To Your Wealth!
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Definitions
Bullish bias – Candle Close is above 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bullish – Candle Close is above 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is above 21 EMA
Bearish bias – Candle Close is below 55 SMA and 8 EMA or 21 EMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA
Bearish – Candle Close is below 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 55 SMA and 8 EMA is below 21 EMA

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