Bursa KLCI

14 June 2018 – Uncertainty in the market

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 11009.49 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 107.33. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction – Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy. It is a daily and weekly Squeeze.

Dow Industrial closed at 25175.31 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 193.9. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Russell 2000 closed at 1684.7246 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 10.2. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 7279.592 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 57.6062. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy.

S&P 500 closed at 2782.49 with a doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 12.54. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction – Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $67 per barrel with a small bullish candle above its 8 EMA and below its 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.8. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Neutral/Buy.

Gold futures (GC) closed at 1305.9 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 12. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy.

Agriculture (DBA) ETF gapped down and closed at 18.42 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.18. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Sell/Sell.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 17.70 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and on its 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.17. BuySellTimer is in its negative cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Sell/Sell.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 143’13 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA and 21 EMA and on its 50 EMA. Daily trading range was 0.8437. BuySellTimer is in its positive cycle. TSI is flat. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) gapped up and closed at 86.17 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.16. BuySellTimer is in a positive cycle. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy. It is in a weekly Squeeze.

Currencies
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 94.873 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 1.738. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy. It has exited its daily Squeeze.

EUR/USD closed at 1.1566 with a bearish marubozu candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0288. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Sell. Current – Sell/Sell.

USD/JPY closed at 110.62 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.773. TSI is in a positive cycle and positive slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Buy/Buy.

6S(Swiss Franc) – closed at 1.0044 with a big bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA and 50 SMA. Daily trading range was 0.0152. BuySellTimer is in a negative cycle. TSI is in a negative cycle and negative slope. Market direction: Intermediate – Buy. Current – Neutral/Sell.

Relative Strength – Sectors
On a monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLY, XLK, XLV and XLB.

On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the ETFs that are outperforming the S&P 500 are XLE, XLY, XLK and XLB respectively.

Market Internals
Market sentiment is bullish. Market breadth has flattened. Accumulation/ Distribution has turned downwards showing distribution. Skew is at 142.39. Vix is at 12.12 and Vix futures is at 12.80.

The Week Ahead
Market internals is weakening. Market breadth has flattened. Volume accumulation/distribution is showing distribution. Skew is above 142 which is above the extreme threshold. Vix and Vix futures are below 13. The prognosis is for the market to remain volatile.

Futures Summary(daily chart):
ES – Intermediate Buy. Short term Buy/Buy. Weekly Squeeze.
NQ – Intermediate Buy. Short term Buy/Buy.
YM – Intermediate Buy. Short term Buy/Buy. Weekly Squeeze.
GC – Intermediate Buy. Short term Buy/Buy. Daily and Weekly Squeeze.
CL – Intermediate Sell. Short term Neutral/Buy.

 

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