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Z5 Fri, 19 July 2024

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Z5 Fri 28 June 2024

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26 November 2019 – Are we at an Euphoria stage? New all-time highs

Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10970.23 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 76.97. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.1.

Dow Industrial closed at 28121.68 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 103.81. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.

Russell 2000 closed at 1624.2315 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 10.332. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 68.7.

Nasdaq 100 closed at 8385.7452 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 33.924. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 70.8.

S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3140.52 with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 11.69. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 73.3.

Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.32 per barrel with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.8. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong upTrend. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 57.6.

Gold (/GC) closed at 1468.3 with a bullish candle below its 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 8 EMA, 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 14.9. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 43.8.

Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.70 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.1. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 59.4.

Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’23 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.1875. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Weak Upward. RSI – 51.1.

High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.02 with a bullish marubozu candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.12. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.5.

Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.251 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.148. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.6.


EUR/USD closed at 1.1019 with a small bullish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0018. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 42.6.

USD/JPY closed at 109.02 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.329. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.8.

Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPY, /ES, SPX, XLI, XLF, XLV, XLK, XLP, XLB, XLY, XLE and XLU.

On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are /ES, SPX, SPY, XLI, XLK, XLF, XLP, XLV, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.  

Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 130.28. Vix – 11.54 and Vix Futures – 13.91.   

The Week Ahead 
Market Internals are showing strength. Skew is normal. Vix is below 12 and Vix Futures is below 14. The indices are overbought on the daily chart even as it makes new high. We are in a near euphoria stage of the market. The prognosis is for a bullish bias but trade with caution.

To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.


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